Originally posted by DivineOb
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I'm beginning to doubt Trump's relection chances
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Originally posted by Darth Ovious View PostDid she really say Gayborhood?
https://www.gayborhood.com/
ps. totally safe and non-offensive, though I only looked at the landing page.
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Guess I'll post more cancel culture stuff here.
https://www.rollingstone.com/pro/new...blues-1013919/
So Lady Antebellum have had to change their name because of slavery or whatever. I don't want to know anymore at this point. However apparently there was already another artist with the name Lady A so now apparently they are trying to steal a stage name from a black women. Oh ghee, what a world we live in now.
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I follow state level Presidential polls closely, and I just encountered my first poll for Arkansas.
In 2016, Trump was +27 over Clinton in Arkansas. In the poll that was released today, Trump is only +2 over Biden in Arkansas. I can't recall the last time I saw a poll that could be considered to be good news for Trump, in recent months the results have been uniformly negative for him.
According to the following article, in Arkansas Trump is losing the support of independents, women, the young, and non-Caucasians, as a result of high unemployment, racial strife, the pandemic, and civil unrest. If Trump can't hold on to a state like Arkansas, then there is no possibility he can win in November.
https://talkbusiness.net/2020/06/pol...e-in-arkansas/"My favorite color in the alphabet is three." - Donald J. Trump
"The 'J' in my middle name stands for 'Jenius'" - Donald J. Trump
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Originally posted by Reepicheep View PostI follow state level Presidential polls closely, and I just encountered my first poll for Arkansas.
In 2016, Trump was +27 over Clinton in Arkansas. In the poll that was released today, Trump is only +2 over Biden in Arkansas. I can't recall the last time I saw a poll that could be considered to be good news for Trump, in recent months the results have been uniformly negative for him.
According to the following article, in Arkansas Trump is losing the support of independents, women, the young, and non-Caucasians, as a result of high unemployment, racial strife, the pandemic, and civil unrest. If Trump can't hold on to a state like Arkansas, then there is no possibility he can win in November.
https://talkbusiness.net/2020/06/pol...e-in-arkansas/
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Originally posted by JimL View PostTrump, as expected, also won Texas by 9% over Clinton. He's now in a dead heat with Biden according to the latest polls I've seen.
The House is already pretty well guaranteed to go to the Democrats, and with each passing day the likelihood of a Democrat controlled Senate becomes more certain."My favorite color in the alphabet is three." - Donald J. Trump
"The 'J' in my middle name stands for 'Jenius'" - Donald J. Trump
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Originally posted by Reepicheep View PostYes, the latest polls I have seen have Biden +3 in Florida, and a tie in Texas. According to the website 270TOWIN Trump needs to win both these states in November to have any chance of a second term. Biden is also +15 in Michigan and +9 in Wisconsin, and leading in every toss-up state except Pennsylvania so a repeat of Trump's 2016 victory seems, at this point, very unlikely (actually, the Pennsylvania poll appears to be an outlier, so Biden is probably ahead there, too).
The House is already pretty well guaranteed to go to the Democrats, and with each passing day the likelihood of a Democrat controlled Senate becomes more certain.Last edited by JimL; 06-15-2020, 09:54 AM.
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Originally posted by JimL View PostTrue, according to current polling. Collins of Maine, McSally of Arizona, Gardner of Colorado, and Tillis of N. Carolina are particularly vulnerable, and Daines of Montans, Perdue of Georgia, and even Ernst in Iowa are in dead heats, some of them behind in the polls. But never discount Republican voter suppressin tactics.
They're the ones who essentially gave us the November Surprise in the previous election, and I think we'd be smart to assume the same thing might happen later this year...
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Originally posted by Whateverman View PostFor myself, I think shadow voters are going to play a bigger part: they're the ones who - like 2016 - discounted polls and didn't contribute in the collection of opinion data until it came time to cast their vote. Contempt for "the media" causes some to avoid taking part in the pre-election furor.
They're the ones who essentially gave us the November Surprise in the previous election, and I think we'd be smart to assume the same thing might happen later this year...The first to state his case seems right until another comes and cross-examines him.
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Originally posted by Whateverman View PostFor myself, I think shadow voters are going to play a bigger part: they're the ones who - like 2016 - discounted polls and didn't contribute in the collection of opinion data until it came time to cast their vote. Contempt for "the media" causes some to avoid taking part in the pre-election furor.
They're the ones who essentially gave us the November Surprise in the previous election, and I think we'd be smart to assume the same thing might happen later this year...
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Originally posted by JimL View PostThe polls were not that wrong in 2016, Hillary won the popular vote by 3 million, lost the electoral college by some 70,000 votes spread over 3 states, probably due in part to Comey who in the last few weeks running up to the election, made public an investigation into Clinton. He didn't however make public the ongoing investigation into the Trump campaign.
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Originally posted by Reepicheep View PostYes, the latest polls I have seen have Biden +3 in Florida, and a tie in Texas. According to the website 270TOWIN Trump needs to win both these states in November to have any chance of a second term. Biden is also +15 in Michigan and +9 in Wisconsin, and leading in every toss-up state except Pennsylvania so a repeat of Trump's 2016 victory seems, at this point, very unlikely (actually, the Pennsylvania poll appears to be an outlier, so Biden is probably ahead there, too).
The House is already pretty well guaranteed to go to the Democrats, and with each passing day the likelihood of a Democrat controlled Senate becomes more certain."For I desire mercy, not sacrifice, and acknowledgment of God rather than burnt offerings." Hosea 6:6
"Theology can be an intellectual entertainment." Metropolitan Anthony Bloom
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Originally posted by rogue06 View PostNo. The Democrats are still the same Democrats, they just wear a different hood.
They still want to keep blacks on their plantation. They were still naming a former grand kleagle of the KKK as president pro tem of the Senate (third in line for the presidency after the VP and Speaker of the House) until about ten years ago. A guy who felt comfortable using the n-word a couple times on national TV not long before that.
I'm always still in trouble again
"You're by far the worst poster on TWeb" and "TWeb's biggest liar" --starlight (the guy who says Stalin was a right-winger)
"Overall I would rate the withdrawal from Afghanistan as by far the best thing Biden's done" --Starlight
"Of course, human life begins at fertilization that’s not the argument." --Tassman
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Originally posted by Whateverman View PostNope. Today's Republicans are yesterday's Democrats.
Today's Democrat Party has a think veneer over it which is the only difference between them now and then. Well, that and an eagerly compliant MSM more than happy to ignore it while seeking to distract attention elsewhere.
I'm always still in trouble again
"You're by far the worst poster on TWeb" and "TWeb's biggest liar" --starlight (the guy who says Stalin was a right-winger)
"Overall I would rate the withdrawal from Afghanistan as by far the best thing Biden's done" --Starlight
"Of course, human life begins at fertilization that’s not the argument." --Tassman
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Originally posted by rogue06 View PostYou seem smarter than mindlessly chanting slogans and mantras. The facts are just not on your side here.
Today's Democrat Party has a think veneer over it which is the only difference between them now and then. Well, that and an eagerly compliant MSM more than happy to ignore it while seeking to distract attention elsewhere.
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