Originally posted by Sparko
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Latest figures from here show
935,197 cases:
047,192 deaths
193,989 survivors
694,016 still in progress.
Of the 241,181 cases that have run their full course 47,192 resulted in death. That's about 20%, not 0.49%.
For the US the figures are:
215,003 cases:
005,102 deaths
008,878 survivors
201,023 still in progress.
Of the 13,980 cases that have run their full course 5,102 resulted in death. 36%.
Obviously the outcome of the ongoing cases will affect these figures, almost certainly downwards. But you're assuming that anyone with coronavirus that hasn't died yet will recover. This is going to give you the wrong answer, since you're assuming a favourable outcome for 93% of the US cases.
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