Bernie Sanders Is The Front-Runner

[Juvenal]

It's way too early to say much, but there's one thing we can't say anymore. Bernie is not a fringe candidate.

UPDATED MAR. 3, 2020, AT 9:29 AM

"The forecast is frozen while we await final Super Tuesday results. It is not updating with any new data, including polls."

BeforeSuperTuesday.jpg

Opinion swung against Sanders prior to super Tuesday. With the race now down to Biden, Bernie, and Tulsi, it's still fair to say Bernie is not a fringe candidate, while noting that's not enough to count ... for the candidate and supporters who can't count.

With the winnowed field, I'm guessing the next forecast will show Biden with a clear path to a majority at the convention.

[JimL]

UPDATED MAR. 3, 2020, AT 9:29 AM

"The forecast is frozen while we await final Super Tuesday results. It is not updating with any new data, including polls."

[ATTACH=CONFIG]43103[/ATTACH]

Opinion swung against Sanders prior to super Tuesday. With the race now down to Biden, Bernie, and Tulsi, it's still fair to say Bernie is not a fringe candidate, while noting that's not enough to count ... for the candidate and supporters who can't count.

With the winnowed field, I'm guessing the next forecast will show Biden with a clear path to a majority at the convention.

I think the next 2 debates which will basically be a one on one between Biden and Sanders, moderate and progressive, will be crucial in determining the final outcome.

[seer]

Elizabeth Warren will drop out of the 2020 presidential race after disappointing Super Tuesday showing

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/05/eliz...tial-race.html

[rogue06]

Elizabeth Warren will drop out of the 2020 presidential race after disappointing Super Tuesday showing

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/05/eliz...tial-race.html

I have reservations about these sort of blanket characterizations. I hope your Hopi.

[Bill the Cat]

Bernie is toast. Projections are now showing Biden will win enough to secure the nomination outright.

[Bill the Cat]

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[Juvenal]

Bernie is toast. Projections are now showing Biden will win enough to secure the nomination outright.

I hear he managed to get a couple of post offices named in his time in Congress.

[rogue06]

Bernie is toast. Projections are now showing Biden will win enough to secure the nomination outright.

The same folks were getting dressed to attend Biden's political funeral just a week ago.

[Bill the Cat]

I hear he managed to get a couple of post offices named in his time in Congress.

I hear he thinks he is running for Senate again after his time under President "My Boss"

[seanD]

Bernie is toast. Projections are now showing Biden will win enough to secure the nomination outright.

It's going to be so cringe central if Biden gets on the debate stage with Trump. I mean it's going to be brutal.

[Starlight]

It's going to be so cringe central if Biden gets on the debate stage with Trump. I mean it's going to be brutal.

Two guys with dementia who commonly can't finish a sentence without turning it into a word-salad.

Hopefully it makes US voters realize they're the crazy ones for voting for two nutters.

[Mountain Man]

Two guys with dementia who commonly can't finish a sentence without turning it into a word-salad.

Hopefully it makes US voters realize they're the crazy ones for voting for two nutters.

Yep... the final days of the Slow Joe vs. Crazy Bernie contest are going to be epic.

[seanD]

Two guys with dementia who commonly can't finish a sentence without turning it into a word-salad.

Hopefully it makes US voters realize they're the crazy ones for voting for two nutters.

Trump is good when it comes to one-on-one unprofessional verbal exchanges, and that's what it's going to come down to, because that's where we're at in this current political environment where anything goes. Everyone knows Biden has dementia, even the folks that feel it's taboo to publicly call it that know that's what it is. What folks don't realize is that the more stress the person is under the worse it gets.

Sanders could lay the smackdown against Biden during the primary debates, but he won't because he's a feckless wimp. I expect those debates to be snooze-fest and Biden will breeze through them for the most part. In fact, I'm surprised progressives aren't DEMANDING the DNC allow Gabbard on the stage. I have no doubt she'd come at Biden hard, like she did Harris.

[Terraceth]

UPDATED MAR. 3, 2020, AT 9:29 AM

"The forecast is frozen while we await final Super Tuesday results. It is not updating with any new data, including polls."

[ATTACH=CONFIG]43103[/ATTACH]

Opinion swung against Sanders prior to super Tuesday. With the race now down to Biden, Bernie, and Tulsi, it's still fair to say Bernie is not a fringe candidate, while noting that's not enough to count ... for the candidate and supporters who can't count.

With the winnowed field, I'm guessing the next forecast will show Biden with a clear path to a majority at the convention.

The current forecast from that site (updated 41 minutes ago) gives Biden a 7 in 8 chance of winning a majority, 1 in 10 chance of a brokered convention, and 1 in 50 for Sanders to win a majority.

Of course, just as there was a big swing from what you posted to right now in just a matter of days, we could easily see a big swing within the week for Sanders to make a surge and keep up with Biden.

[seanD]

The current forecast from that site (updated 41 minutes ago) gives Biden a 7 in 8 chance of winning a majority, 1 in 10 chance of a brokered convention, and 1 in 50 for Sanders to win a majority.

Of course, just as there was a big swing from what you posted to right now in just a matter of days, we could easily see a big swing within the week for Sanders to make a surge and keep up with Biden.

Biden is leading in the polls in both Michigan and Missouri. Though I don't put much stock in those polls, they were all accurate in regards to Biden and that might have even been before the SC and moderate endorsement momentum he had on Tue, because a lot of those primaries were done early. In Florida, he has something like a 40+ poll favor.