Any claim of this sort would have to be somewhat tentative, of course. We cannot really test such inferences directly. Be that as it may, there are
Some recent blog articles from (what I consider to be) reputable active working scientists in the field, specifically on the role of ENSO for the 2015 record.
Some data with my own comments. (Data from the most recent GISTEMP dataset.)
ElNinoYearsGISTEMP.JPG
- Thompson et al, A large discontinuity in the mid-twentieth century in observed global-mean surface temperature, Nature 453, 646-649 (29 May 2008) doi
- Foster et al, , in Environmental Research Letters, Volume 6, Number 4, Dec 2011, doi.
- Fawcett et al, On tropical cyclone activity in the Southern Hemisphere: Trends and the ENSO connection, Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 35, Issue 14, July 2008, doi
Some recent blog articles from (what I consider to be) reputable active working scientists in the field, specifically on the role of ENSO for the 2015 record.
- At open mind, by tamino (actually a statistician rather than pure scientist, but active publishing on climate related statistical analysis): .
- At realclimate, by Gavin Schmidt: 2015 temperatures. (Look at the update at the end of the blog post, which was added specifically to address this question of the ENSO contribution.)
Some data with my own comments. (Data from the most recent GISTEMP dataset.)
ElNinoYearsGISTEMP.JPG
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