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  • Actually anticipated for more illnesses, but eventually not needed, because at the time the COVID 19 cases were beginning to decline as they have since.

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    • As the country comes out of lockdown, and the politicians say that the danger has passed, and people go back to their old habits, the infection rate will pick up again, and after a few weeks, the death rate will turn sharply upwards. All this is totally predictable. You will see it by the end of June.

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      • Originally posted by firstfloor View Post
        As the country comes out of lockdown, and the politicians say that the danger has passed, and people go back to their old habits, the infection rate will pick up again, and after a few weeks, the death rate will turn sharply upwards. All this is totally predictable. You will see it by the end of June.
        Alabama ICUs are already at capacity.



        All the effort from the past 2 months of lockdown is going into the incinerator as we speak.

        Comment


        • Originally posted by dirtfloor View Post
          As the country comes out of lockdown, and the politicians say that the danger has passed, and people go back to their old habits, the infection rate will pick up again, and after a few weeks, the death rate will turn sharply upwards. All this is totally predictable. You will see it by the end of June.
          Is this your hope?

          In other news...

          London: An Oxford University vaccine trial has only a 50 per cent chance of success because coronavirus is fading so rapidly in Britain, a project co-leader has warned.

          The warning comes as new data reveals that there are now 224 vaccines in development around the world - almost double the total of just a month ago.
          The race to produce a vaccine could be hampered by falling virus rates, scientists warn.

          Professor Adrian Hill said an upcoming Oxford vaccine trial, involving 10,000 volunteers, threatened to return "no result" because of low transmission of COVID-19 in the community.

          https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/...24-p54vvu.html

          It's hilarious that the report is trying to make this sound like bad news.
          Some may call me foolish, and some may call me odd
          But I'd rather be a fool in the eyes of man
          Than a fool in the eyes of God


          From "Fools Gold" by Petra

          Comment


          • Originally posted by Mountain Man View Post
            Is this your hope?

            In other news...

            London: An Oxford University vaccine trial has only a 50 per cent chance of success because coronavirus is fading so rapidly in Britain, a project co-leader has warned.

            The warning comes as new data reveals that there are now 224 vaccines in development around the world - almost double the total of just a month ago.
            The race to produce a vaccine could be hampered by falling virus rates, scientists warn.

            Professor Adrian Hill said an upcoming Oxford vaccine trial, involving 10,000 volunteers, threatened to return "no result" because of low transmission of COVID-19 in the community.

            https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/...24-p54vvu.html

            It's hilarious that the report is trying to make this sound like bad news.
            It is bad news if you have a vaccine candidate but you cannot test it in a double blind trial because physical distancing measures have been so effective. They should sent it to Brazil; let them see if it works.

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            • Originally posted by firstfloor View Post
              It is bad news if you have a vaccine candidate but you cannot test it in a double blind trial because physical distancing measures have been so effective.
              This is one of those cases where it seems like these volunteers should go and shake people's hands in hospital, and not wear a mask while doing it.

              Boris the Johnson was just head of his time and pioneering the vaccine trial.
              "I hate him passionately", he's "a demonic force" - Tucker Carlson, in private, on Donald Trump
              "Every line of serious work that I have written since 1936 has been written, directly or indirectly, against totalitarianism and for democratic socialism" - George Orwell
              "[Capitalism] as it exists today is, in my opinion, the real source of evils. I am convinced there is only one way to eliminate these grave evils, namely through the establishment of a socialist economy" - Albert Einstein

              Comment


              • Originally posted by Mountain Man View Post
                Is this your hope?
                Not hope, but expectation; look out for an inflection point in the data.

                Comment


                • Originally posted by dirtfloor View Post
                  It is bad news if you have a vaccine candidate but you cannot test it in a double blind trial because physical distancing measures have been so effective. They should sent it to Brazil; let them see if it works.
                  The reason they can't test it is because the China flu is disappearing much faster than anybody predicted. You'd think people would embrace this as something to celebrate.

                  Of course that doesn't fit the fear mongers' narrative, so they try to make it sound like an inexplicably bad thing.
                  Some may call me foolish, and some may call me odd
                  But I'd rather be a fool in the eyes of man
                  Than a fool in the eyes of God


                  From "Fools Gold" by Petra

                  Comment


                  • Originally posted by Mountain Man View Post
                    The reason they can't test it is because the China flu is disappearing much faster than anybody predicted. You'd think people would embrace this as something to celebrate.

                    Of course that doesn't fit the fear mongers' narrative, so they try to make it sound like an inexplicably bad thing.

                    Comment


                    • Originally posted by Mountain Man View Post
                      The reason they can't test it is because the China flu is disappearing much faster than anybody predicted.

                      China flu? Racist!
                      Atheism is the cult of death, the death of hope. The universe is doomed, you are doomed, the only thing that remains is to await your execution...

                      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jbnueb2OI4o&t=3s

                      Comment


                      • Originally posted by Mountain Man View Post
                        The reason they can't test it is because the China flu is disappearing much faster than anybody predicted. You'd think people would embrace this as something to celebrate.

                        Of course that doesn't fit the fear mongers' narrative, so they try to make it sound like an inexplicably bad thing.
                        The data does not support your claim. While some countries are seeing a downturn due to their efforts to mitigate the virus, others are just beginning to see the virus take hold and surge. Globally, the incidence of new cases continues to rise. If you look at the running 10-day average for global new cases, the current peak is Sunday (the day before yesterday) at 97,247 average cases per day over the previous 10 days.

                        In the U.S., we hit our 10-day running average peak on 4/11 at 31,965 new confirmed cases. In the six weeks since then, we have only dropped back to 22,194. It took us only 9 days to climb from a 10-day running average of 20,062 to 31,965, and after six weeks we still have not dropped back down to that number.

                        Pointing to a few countries that have seen a drop in cases as proof that we are "past this thing" when the global numbers tell a different story is like pointing to one glacier that is advancing to prove "global warming is not happening" when the vast majority of glaciers are actually in retreat. It is an example of selectively choosing data to affirm a narrative - something you do (and are called out on) on a regular basis.
                        The ultimate weakness of violence is that it is a descending spiral begetting the very thing it seeks to destroy...returning violence for violence multiplies violence, adding deeper darkness to a night already devoid of stars. Darkness cannot drive out darkness; only light can do that. Hate cannot drive out hate; only love can do that. Martin Luther King

                        I would unite with anybody to do right and with nobody to do wrong. Frederick Douglas

                        Comment


                        • Originally posted by Mountain Man View Post
                          The reason they can't test it is because the China flu is disappearing much faster than anybody predicted. You'd think people would embrace this as something to celebrate.

                          Of course that doesn't fit the fear mongers' narrative, so they try to make it sound like an inexplicably bad thing.
                          In britain - due to mitigation efforts to control it. Stop listening to breitbart spin and look at the actual data. Most countries are doing what they can to stop it, and those stay at home/shelter in place etc efforts have paid off. Unlike in countries that have balked at such and where it is out of control, like Brazil which has leaped to 2nd only to the US in both cases and new cases per day, and Mexico which is now #17 in number of cass, but #7 in terms of growth.

                          Are you really this stupid MM? Anytime we get to the data or the numbers, you seem to just completely lose a capacity for reason. Is the only thing you are capable of doing is reading breitbart of fox and then echoing whatever line they feed you? I'm giving you the numbers - the actual data. I'm not going to some news source and feeding you their particular spin.
                          My brethren, do not hold your faith in our glorious Lord Jesus Christ with an attitude of personal favoritism. James 2:1

                          If anyone thinks himself to be religious, and yet does not  bridle his tongue but deceives his own heart, this man’s religion is worthless James 1:26

                          This you know, my beloved brethren. But everyone must be quick to hear, slow to speak and slow to anger; James 1:19

                          Comment


                          • The US is now officially over 100,000 deaths due to the corona-virus. We are still adding about 20,000 cases per day. And our numbers appear to have stopped their decline in what appears to be a response to 'reopening'. Georgia, Alabama, Florida, California are seeing rising numbers. California, once a purported 'anomaly' state is seeing a steady rise since April and is now at or near 100,000 cases.

                            https://www.cnn.com/2020/05/26/healt...day/index.html

                            We had a lot of people out pretending all is well this weekend. So, based on a 5 day average incubation, stay tuned and look for increases in the daily active case counts beginning the end of this week and continuing through mid June with increases in death rates delayed a week or two from that.
                            Last edited by oxmixmudd; 05-26-2020, 11:52 AM.
                            My brethren, do not hold your faith in our glorious Lord Jesus Christ with an attitude of personal favoritism. James 2:1

                            If anyone thinks himself to be religious, and yet does not  bridle his tongue but deceives his own heart, this man’s religion is worthless James 1:26

                            This you know, my beloved brethren. But everyone must be quick to hear, slow to speak and slow to anger; James 1:19

                            Comment


                            • On tonight's BBC news (paraphrased): 'There are Greek Islands in the Aegean that have little contact with the outside world, and so have had no cases on Covid-19. We've going to visit one...'

                              Aaaargh!
                              Jorge: Functional Complex Information is INFORMATION that is complex and functional.

                              MM: First of all, the Bible is a fixed document.
                              MM on covid-19: We're talking about an illness with a better than 99.9% rate of survival.

                              seer: I believe that so called 'compassion' [for starving Palestinian kids] maybe a cover for anti Semitism, ...

                              Comment


                              • Originally posted by Mountain Man View Post
                                The reason they can't test it is because the China flu is disappearing much faster than anybody predicted.
                                IIRC some president or other predicted it would all be gone by April.
                                Last edited by Roy; 05-26-2020, 01:10 PM.
                                Jorge: Functional Complex Information is INFORMATION that is complex and functional.

                                MM: First of all, the Bible is a fixed document.
                                MM on covid-19: We're talking about an illness with a better than 99.9% rate of survival.

                                seer: I believe that so called 'compassion' [for starving Palestinian kids] maybe a cover for anti Semitism, ...

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