All states that were under lockdown are now moving out of it. Some before ever actually seeing a real down turn. The ones opening the Earliest (+ the ones that never closed) are 3 weeks past the point where they were under lock down. We are gradually adding activity across the us.
2 weeks is a 95% confidence MAXIMUM incubation. Typical incubation is just 4 to 5 days pix. We've had more than enough time that has passed to begin to see the impact of the reopening in the data.
The average slope of the new daily cases is now slightly positive. The turn began around may 9, a week after reopening. It was on a shallow downward trend:
US daily cases chart 05222020.jpg
2 weeks is a 95% confidence MAXIMUM incubation. Typical incubation is just 4 to 5 days pix. We've had more than enough time that has passed to begin to see the impact of the reopening in the data.
The average slope of the new daily cases is now slightly positive. The turn began around may 9, a week after reopening. It was on a shallow downward trend:
US daily cases chart 05222020.jpg
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