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Originally posted by Mountain Man View PostWhy are we trusting China for our medical supplies?Geislerminian Antinomian Kenotic Charispneumaticostal Gender Mutualist-Egalitarian.
Beige Federalist.
Nationalist Christian.
"Everybody is somebody's heretic."
Social Justice is usually the opposite of actual justice.
Proud member of the this space left blank community.
Would-be Grand Vizier of the Padishah Maxi-Super-Ultra-Hyper-Mega-MAGA King Trumpius Rex.
Justice for Ashli Babbitt!
Justice for Matthew Perna!
Arrest Ray Epps and his Fed bosses!
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Originally posted by Mountain Man View PostSuch pronouncements assume that the data coming from each country is accurate and of equal quality. Personally, I trust the US healthcare system to provide the most accurate data possible. Not so much other countries, especially those where the government controls the healthcare system and has a vested interest in keeping numbers artificially low.Jorge: Functional Complex Information is INFORMATION that is complex and functional.
MM: First of all, the Bible is a fixed document.
MM on covid-19: We're talking about an illness with a better than 99.9% rate of survival.
seer: I believe that so called 'compassion' [for starving Palestinian kids] maybe a cover for anti Semitism, ...
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Originally posted by rogue06 View PostMeanwhile the left is having a field day mocking and belittling someone who converted 75% of his businesses into making masks for doctors and nurses. They'll be producing up to 50,000 per day.The ultimate weakness of violence is that it is a descending spiral begetting the very thing it seeks to destroy...returning violence for violence multiplies violence, adding deeper darkness to a night already devoid of stars. Darkness cannot drive out darkness; only light can do that. Hate cannot drive out hate; only love can do that. Martin Luther King
I would unite with anybody to do right and with nobody to do wrong. Frederick Douglas
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Originally posted by Ignorant Roy View PostSuch a government would have a vested interest in keeping the numbers artificially high, because that would justify increased taxes and greater government control over the people.
"I don't mind paying a little more because of what a good job they're doing" vs "Why should I pay more when they're doing such a bad job with what I've already paid?"Some may call me foolish, and some may call me odd
But I'd rather be a fool in the eyes of man
Than a fool in the eyes of God
From "Fools Gold" by Petra
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I am really curious to know the response to this comment from Jared Kushner in yesterday's briefing:
The notion of the federal stockpile is that it's supposed to be our stockpile. It's not supposed to be states' stockpiles that they then use.The ultimate weakness of violence is that it is a descending spiral begetting the very thing it seeks to destroy...returning violence for violence multiplies violence, adding deeper darkness to a night already devoid of stars. Darkness cannot drive out darkness; only light can do that. Hate cannot drive out hate; only love can do that. Martin Luther King
I would unite with anybody to do right and with nobody to do wrong. Frederick Douglas
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Originally posted by carpedm9587 View PostI am really curious to know the response to this comment from Jared Kushner in yesterday's briefing:
The notion of the federal stockpile is that it's supposed to be our stockpile. It's not supposed to be states' stockpiles that they then use.Jorge: Functional Complex Information is INFORMATION that is complex and functional.
MM: First of all, the Bible is a fixed document.
MM on covid-19: We're talking about an illness with a better than 99.9% rate of survival.
seer: I believe that so called 'compassion' [for starving Palestinian kids] maybe a cover for anti Semitism, ...
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Originally posted by carpedmprig View PostI am really curious to know the response to this comment from Jared Kushner in yesterday's briefing:
The notion of the federal stockpile is that it's supposed to be our stockpile. It's not supposed to be states' stockpiles that they then use.Some may call me foolish, and some may call me odd
But I'd rather be a fool in the eyes of man
Than a fool in the eyes of God
From "Fools Gold" by Petra
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Originally posted by oxmixmudd View PostNow you have your decimal point off by one. 45,497/911,308 = .04992 = 4.99% (5%)
As I said, the best situations are between 1 and 2%. The worst are above 10% (Italy)
Thanks.
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Originally posted by Roy View PostSuch a government would have a vested interest in keeping the numbers artificially high, because that would justify increased taxes and greater government control over the people.
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Sadly, the potential downturn we thought we saw in the US does appear to have been a statistical anomaly, though the log curve is still bending down a bit (#case, not #deaths).
log cases US 04032020.jpg
New York now has as many cases as the entire US less than a week ago.
The US has almost a full 1/4 of the worlds cases.
Our mortality, once in the low 1%, has now crept up to 2.55%. This at a time when increased testing should be driving it down. This is because the log death curve is till basically a straight line.
log deaths US 04032020.jpg
At the current cases growth rate, we will see 500,000 cases in 1 week. 1,000,000 in 2.
At the current death growth rate we will see 24,000 deaths in 1 week, 100,000 in 2. So based on case growth and a 2.5% mortality, we should soon see the log deaths curve bend down. Otherwise we are headed for mortalities more in line with Spain, France, or Italy - 5 to 10%.
Starting late chasing an exponential bomb is a hard hare to catch ...Last edited by oxmixmudd; 04-03-2020, 10:49 AM.My brethren, do not hold your faith in our glorious Lord Jesus Christ with an attitude of personal favoritism. James 2:1
If anyone thinks himself to be religious, and yet does not bridle his tongue but deceives his own heart, this man’s religion is worthless James 1:26
This you know, my beloved brethren. But everyone must be quick to hear, slow to speak and slow to anger; James 1:19
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Originally posted by oxmixmudd View PostSadly, the potential downturn we thought we saw in the US does appear to have been a statistical anomaly, though the log curve is still bending down a bit (#case, not #deaths).
.
March 31: 24,742 new cases and 912 new deaths
April 1: 26,473 new cases and 1,049 new deaths
April 2: 29,874 new cases and 968 new deaths
The # of new cases is still accelerating but # of new deaths seem to have slowed down. Anomaly, hopefully not...we might see a turnaround. The next 2-3 days will clarify.
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Originally posted by little_monkey View PostThey also tend to see the medias as the enemy of the people."As for my people, children are their oppressors, and women rule over them. O my people, they which lead thee cause thee to err, and destroy the way of thy paths." Isaiah 3:12
There is no such thing as innocence, only degrees of guilt.
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