Originally posted by simplicio
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What will be the backlash if the vaccine does not work perfectly? What will be the backlash if animals (birds) play a role in spread? What will the response be if it does become pandemic and people realize that our health care system does not have the slack capacity (factory model) to handle cases?
Doctors and epidemiologists classify vaccines into two broad categories, perfect vaccines both protect the individual from getting a severe case of the illness and prevent the vaccinated individuals from spreading the disease. We have vaccines for many diseases which are not released because they do not prevent those vaccinated from shedding the disease.
If poultry or hogs (bats are a likely vector, but few have contact with bats) are a pool of potential contagion, as with some of the flu viruses, then it is unlikely that the disease will be eradicated, rather it will become a persistent disease.
We do expect godlike results from doctors at CDC, WHO, public health services, big Pharm, and at universities (I think I covered the major players), and are outraged when the recommendations resemble a form of triage. Triage plays a role only when the local health care is overwhelmed as in war and epidemics.
Epidemics depend on coordination of public health and health care itself, there are relatively few vacant beds across the system, due to efficiency concerns. Only acute case typically land in hospitals. We chose to reduce our ability to respond to epidemics as part of cost cutting measure.
Doctors and epidemiologists classify vaccines into two broad categories, perfect vaccines both protect the individual from getting a severe case of the illness and prevent the vaccinated individuals from spreading the disease. We have vaccines for many diseases which are not released because they do not prevent those vaccinated from shedding the disease.
If poultry or hogs (bats are a likely vector, but few have contact with bats) are a pool of potential contagion, as with some of the flu viruses, then it is unlikely that the disease will be eradicated, rather it will become a persistent disease.
We do expect godlike results from doctors at CDC, WHO, public health services, big Pharm, and at universities (I think I covered the major players), and are outraged when the recommendations resemble a form of triage. Triage plays a role only when the local health care is overwhelmed as in war and epidemics.
Epidemics depend on coordination of public health and health care itself, there are relatively few vacant beds across the system, due to efficiency concerns. Only acute case typically land in hospitals. We chose to reduce our ability to respond to epidemics as part of cost cutting measure.
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