Originally posted by carpedm9587
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Roy Moore accused of sexual contact with 14-year old
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I'm always still in trouble again
"You're by far the worst poster on TWeb" and "TWeb's biggest liar" --starlight (the guy who says Stalin was a right-winger)
"Overall I would rate the withdrawal from Afghanistan as by far the best thing Biden's done" --Starlight
"Of course, human life begins at fertilization that’s not the argument." --Tassman
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Originally posted by rogue06 View PostNot if they were born here or are naturalized citizens.
I spent my whole last Friday helping a homeless gentleman get "documented" - he had no drivers license, social security card, birth certificate... It cost a total of $45The first to state his case seems right until another comes and cross-examines him.
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Originally posted by rogue06 View Post
I would suggest going to the original source (click the link above) since it contains numerous hyperlinks and much more detail.
If you don't like those there are many others.
This apparently is yet another right-wing talking point that made a lot of hay - but there is no evidence that anything illegal was done - no indication of what was in the talking points and whether or not security was violated.
A lot of smoke - but no evidence of a fire.The ultimate weakness of violence is that it is a descending spiral begetting the very thing it seeks to destroy...returning violence for violence multiplies violence, adding deeper darkness to a night already devoid of stars. Darkness cannot drive out darkness; only light can do that. Hate cannot drive out hate; only love can do that. Martin Luther King
I would unite with anybody to do right and with nobody to do wrong. Frederick Douglas
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Originally posted by carpedm9587 View PostI did some digging. Ms. Clinton responded to this one: http://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefi...secure-channel
This apparently is yet another right-wing talking point that made a lot of hay - but there is no evidence that anything illegal was done - no indication of what was in the talking points and whether or not security was violated.
A lot of smoke - but no evidence of a fire.The first to state his case seems right until another comes and cross-examines him.
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Originally posted by rogue06 View PostNot if they were born here or are naturalized citizens.
There is a good review of this issue here: https://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytime...fication-laws/
FiveThirtyEight is a fairly middle of the road news and poll aggregator, so I find their view to be fairly balanced. In general, they find that the left's estimation of the impact is overblown - and the right's is understated. They estimate up to a 2% impact (in general), with most of that falling against Democratic voters - a net impact of 1.2% point shift in the vote. When you look at the margins in many of the swing states, which have been well within 1%, this impact is significant.
Again - Voter ID laws are a solution to a problem that simply has not been demonstrated. A 1.2% shift in vote distribution is important to Republicans because they tend to have a smaller base than Democrats nationwide, and is especially important in swing states - but an initiative that disenfranches as much as 2% of the voters (nationwide that would be almost 3 million voters) is simply not defensible - IMO. It is a strategic political tactic - this I understand. It is also, IMO, an unethical and unpatriotic one.
CP - your efforts are to be lauded - but your view is not a common one, and the statistics cited are based on pretty thorough research.The ultimate weakness of violence is that it is a descending spiral begetting the very thing it seeks to destroy...returning violence for violence multiplies violence, adding deeper darkness to a night already devoid of stars. Darkness cannot drive out darkness; only light can do that. Hate cannot drive out hate; only love can do that. Martin Luther King
I would unite with anybody to do right and with nobody to do wrong. Frederick Douglas
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Originally posted by carpedm9587 View PostCP - your efforts are to be lauded - but your view is not a common one, and the statistics cited are based on pretty thorough research.The first to state his case seems right until another comes and cross-examines him.
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Originally posted by Cow Poke View PostWell, if Hillary responded, that settles it!
That being said, I have already stepped into the "I hate Hillary" hornet's nest once this week - and I am fairly sure nothing I am going to say is going to change that level of hatred - so I'll disconnect on this one too and let ya'll rip in and have the final word.The ultimate weakness of violence is that it is a descending spiral begetting the very thing it seeks to destroy...returning violence for violence multiplies violence, adding deeper darkness to a night already devoid of stars. Darkness cannot drive out darkness; only light can do that. Hate cannot drive out hate; only love can do that. Martin Luther King
I would unite with anybody to do right and with nobody to do wrong. Frederick Douglas
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Originally posted by Cow Poke View PostMaybe I'm hanging out with the wrong crowd, because it's pretty common where I come from. Do "the statistics cited" prove that those who support voter ID laws are against helping those who need to be documented actually get documented?
I laud your effort, BTW. It's encouraging to know that is happening. But it's simply not enough to counter the overall effect, at least as far as the studies seem to indicate.
The more ethical approach, IMO, would be to target people to help them get VoterIDs, and then change the law after VoterIDs are close to universal and the law will not negatively impact anyone. I doubt that will ever be accepted, however, because it basically eliminates the primary purpose for these laws.The ultimate weakness of violence is that it is a descending spiral begetting the very thing it seeks to destroy...returning violence for violence multiplies violence, adding deeper darkness to a night already devoid of stars. Darkness cannot drive out darkness; only light can do that. Hate cannot drive out hate; only love can do that. Martin Luther King
I would unite with anybody to do right and with nobody to do wrong. Frederick Douglas
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Originally posted by carpedm9587 View PostUntil I have reason to cast doubt on someone's story - or I have evidence to the contrary - I don't assume guilt. ...
Here, try this.....
"Hi, my name is Carpe, and .. um... I'm a l... l....liberal"
HI CARPE!!!!
The first to state his case seems right until another comes and cross-examines him.
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Originally posted by carpedm9587 View PostThe statistics are about the overall effect as measured in several states. Presumably, since it measures actual effect, it includes those that have been "helped" by folks like you.
I laud your effort, BTW. It's encouraging to know that is happening. But it's simply not enough to counter the overall effect, at least as far as the studies seem to indicate.
The more ethical approach, IMO, would be to target people to help them get VoterIDs, and then change the law after VoterIDs are close to universal and the law will not negatively impact anyone. I doubt that will ever be accepted, however, because it basically eliminates the primary purpose for these laws.
Do "the statistics cited" prove that those who support voter ID laws are against helping those who need to be documented actually get documented?The first to state his case seems right until another comes and cross-examines him.
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Originally posted by JimL View PostFox News is the only poll having Jones ahead by 10 points. Fox, being an arm of the republican party, that's not hard to figure out. They want to make sure Moore supporters aren't complacent, that they don't take his victory for granted, and get out to vote.
FYI - Fox had Jones up by ten points, not Moore."He is no fool who gives what he cannot keep to gain that which he cannot lose." - Jim Elliot
"Forgiveness is the way of love." Gary Chapman
My Personal Blog
My Novella blog (Current Novella Begins on 7/25/14)
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Originally posted by Cow Poke View PostYa know, you keep saying that, but it seems your "trust" seems to be tilted toward the left. You try really hard to present yourself as "fair and balanced" (to borrow a phrase ) but here you are again dutifully defending - in this case - Hillary, and assaulting the right.
Here, try this.....
"Hi, my name is Carpe, and .. um... I'm a l... l....liberal"
HI CARPE!!!!
I'm not sure why you think my "trust" leans left. I have noted that I withhold judgment on Moore, accept Franken's and Frank's apologies as evidence of their guilt, withhold judgment on Conyer on the basis of his denials and the counter balancing accusations. There are Republicans I admire and would vote for, and Democrats I do not and would not vote for.
So I'm not sure where your perception comes from that I "trust more to the left." I trust in proportion to the evidence available.The ultimate weakness of violence is that it is a descending spiral begetting the very thing it seeks to destroy...returning violence for violence multiplies violence, adding deeper darkness to a night already devoid of stars. Darkness cannot drive out darkness; only light can do that. Hate cannot drive out hate; only love can do that. Martin Luther King
I would unite with anybody to do right and with nobody to do wrong. Frederick Douglas
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Originally posted by Starlight View PostI imagine, given the amount of voter suppression that Republicans have put into place, that all polling agencies will be having great trouble predicting the outcome, because so many black and Latino voters won't realize they've had their voting rights taken away from them until they actually turn up to the polls on voting day and are denied a vote."He is no fool who gives what he cannot keep to gain that which he cannot lose." - Jim Elliot
"Forgiveness is the way of love." Gary Chapman
My Personal Blog
My Novella blog (Current Novella Begins on 7/25/14)
Quill Sword
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Originally posted by Cow Poke View PostThat's all wonderful and fascinating, but could you please try again to answer my question? You implied that my viewpoint was very uncommon.
Do "the statistics cited" prove that those who support voter ID laws are against helping those who need to be documented actually get documented?
The statistics are about the overall effect as measured in several states. Presumably, since it measures actual effect, it includes those that have been "helped" by folks like you.
The point being - the statistics cite the actual net effect. If there are people like you out helping these folks get their IDs, then those people would not be part of the 2%. Presumably, without folks like you, the percentage would be (somewhat?) higher. There is no study that I know of that has gone out and counted the number of people who have been helped to get Voter IDs by people with your philosophy.The ultimate weakness of violence is that it is a descending spiral begetting the very thing it seeks to destroy...returning violence for violence multiplies violence, adding deeper darkness to a night already devoid of stars. Darkness cannot drive out darkness; only light can do that. Hate cannot drive out hate; only love can do that. Martin Luther King
I would unite with anybody to do right and with nobody to do wrong. Frederick Douglas
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