Like the previous threads on annual weather and temperature trends this thread will follow these trends for 2017. Also the relationship between the El Nino/La Nina cycle will be compared to the temperature and weather data. I do not predict that 2017 will be another record breaker, but I believe it will be above average. The preliminary data is in for January 2017 and it is globally warmer then the 30 yer average.
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Forum Rules: Here
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The weather for 2017
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There are indications that El Nino may be coming back already this year.
From the most recent Australian Bureau of Meteorology ENSO wrap up:
Comment on this from the weather underground blog: :
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Originally posted by sylas View PostMeanwhile, here in Australia we are having a nasty heat wave. Beaches closed, kids off to hospital from overheating, really nasty.Find my speling strange? I'm trying this out: Simplified Speling. Feel free to join me.
"Nature has placed mankind under the governance of two sovereign masters, pain and pleasure. It is for them alone to point out what we ought to do, as well as to determine what we shall do."-Jeremy Bentham
"We question all our beliefs, except for the ones that we really believe in, and those we never think to question."-Orson Scott Card
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Originally posted by stfoskey15 View PostWhy would you close beaches when it's hot? Wouldn't the water be a good place to cool off?
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Originally posted by stfoskey15 View PostWhy would you close beaches when it's hot? Wouldn't the water be a good place to cool off?
JimMy brethren, do not hold your faith in our glorious Lord Jesus Christ with an attitude of personal favoritism. James 2:1
If anyone thinks himself to be religious, and yet does not bridle his tongue but deceives his own heart, this man’s religion is worthless James 1:26
This you know, my beloved brethren. But everyone must be quick to hear, slow to speak and slow to anger; James 1:19
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Originally posted by sylas View PostThere are indications that El Nino may be coming back already this year.
From the most recent Australian Bureau of Meteorology ENSO wrap up:
Comment on this from the weather underground blog: :
Last edited by shunyadragon; 02-11-2017, 08:46 AM.
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Originally posted by shunyadragon View PostThe qualification of 'may come back' is important. I will take a 'cautious wait and see' view, because the transition period between El Nino and La Nina can be longer or less clear tan expected.
That ENSO outlook from BOM Australia also included a nice graph showing the large spread of model projections.
20170131.poama_nino34.jpg
About this time last year, in your previous thread, I made a guesstimate for 2016 global anomaly msg #2 of thread "The weather for 2016". Couldn't do the same this year; situation much more murky. But it's interesting to see that the range of short term projections do include this possibility.
Cheers -- sylas
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January results are in at GISS:
https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/t...LB.Ts+dSST.txt"Any sufficiently advanced stupidity is indistinguishable from trolling."
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What do you mean? 2011 and 2012 were colder than 2010, while 2008 was colder than 2007.Find my speling strange? I'm trying this out: Simplified Speling. Feel free to join me.
"Nature has placed mankind under the governance of two sovereign masters, pain and pleasure. It is for them alone to point out what we ought to do, as well as to determine what we shall do."-Jeremy Bentham
"We question all our beliefs, except for the ones that we really believe in, and those we never think to question."-Orson Scott Card
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Originally posted by stfoskey15 View PostWhat do you mean? 2011 and 2012 were colder than 2010, while 2008 was colder than 2007.Last edited by shunyadragon; 02-23-2017, 03:46 PM.
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