Originally posted by Mountain Man
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Trump Administration Whistleblower Cover-Up
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Originally posted by Teallaura View PostIf they are recipients in this instance, they are guilty of corruption.
There aren't enough votes to begin impeachment - this is more likely to scare some off. Pelosi seems to know it - although she no longer seems to be in control.
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Well, the transcript has been released...
https://www.scribd.com/document/4274...oad&from_embed
And let's just say, "I told you so."
Originally posted by Mountain Man View PostMost likely it's another nothing burger.
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Originally posted by JimL View PostHe definitely has to go, he'sanother traitor in that he is covering up for the treasonous president.A Republican, and I hate Republicans
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Originally posted by Juvenal View PostAnd again, as I mentioned upthread, those who are willing to wait will be rewarded. Both audio and transcripts of the call will be in the press soon enough, and we can move on from the if, if, if ... speculations to a more serious discussion of facts.
The rough transcript of Trump’s Ukrainian call: There are likely no tapes — but plenty of witnesses
He said when he first started in the Situation Room, he asked his predecessor why they didn’t just record the phone calls rather than going through all the trouble of this furious transcription. “The answer I got was ‘Oh God, no. They haven’t recorded those calls since the early ’70s,’” Pfeiffer recalled. After that, he said he didn’t feel the need to inquire any further.
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Originally posted by rogue06 View PostAs you said the numbers are right in front of you:
The following table lists the accuracy of pollsters in the November 8, 2016 US Presidential election using the measure of polling accuracy proposed by Martin, Traugott, and Kennedy.
An accuracy measure of 0.00 indicates that the odds ratio of the survey results matches the odds ratio of the actual results (the closer to 0.00, the better).
[ATTACH=CONFIG]39846[/ATTACH]
And no, don't even go there. This is a response from a brain uninfected by partisanship.
I posted the actual numbers, and am giving up enough of my time to correct these numbers you should never have posted. You looked at the actual numbers, dismissed them for no better reason than because you didn't like them, and went looking for numbers that suited you better, abdicating any responsibility for arguing why they might be better.
Your table isn't sourced. It's clearly coming from a propaganda site, but it's not clear which propaganda site it is, not that it's difficult to reproduce the figures.
When posting the original values, from a sourced site, roujim, it occurred to me someone might instead choose to rank the polls by projected margin of victory, or even ratio of victory, but I dismissed it as so obviously dishonest no one would go there. After all, these polling figures are ranges, x ± error, yielding ranges of margins and ratios that, even for the worst of these surveys, would likely include a value exactly spot on.
So the egg's on me. I trusted too much.
Take a deep breath, clear your head, and look what you posted. The study cited is a trivial analysis. It's "What if we only paid attention to the ending ratio?" study. It makes no claims to superiority as a measure, and wouldn't, because no researcher would miss the opening for outliers to capture a "best of" prize, and especially wouldn't argue for such with rounded values subject to pigeonholing, the principle that assures us we can always find a 22/7 style ratio for pi that beats out its neighbors with similar sized denominators.
A quick calculation shows pigeonholing victories at D/R of 47/45 and 46/44 beating out Rasmussen, and further down the chart, an 18/17 would have beaten all but Rasmussen in this survey.
Someone, not you, if we're to grant you're not deliberately dishonest, went looking for a study incorporating a scaled error cancellation to remove the error in the Rasmussen poll, 3 points for each major party candidate, in order to promote it above polls with actual errors many times less than Rasmussen, as evident from the raw values posted above.
In addition, and again, the Rasmussen sample size is 500/day aggregated over 3 days, or 1500, yielding a natural 1-sigma polling error, 1/√n, of 2.6 percent, meaning any particular report's accuracy cannot, even in principle, be expected to provide a sample with sufficient accuracy to stand above the rest. This is why Rasmussen polls are aggregated over 3 days, and why 538 and similar sites aggregate multiple polls, effectively increasing the sample size to reduce polling error.
This quest, or any quest, for a "best of" poll, even an honest quest as this one is not, cannot even in principle find a more accurate projection than the polling aggregators.
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Originally posted by JimL View PostDuh, so what if they were recipients of money? Besides that, your so called source can say anything he wants, like "he (shokin) was making plans to investigate" but there is no evidence of anything. Btw, your wannabe dictator has crossed the rubicon, as they say, with this one. Impeachment time!
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Originally posted by JimL View PostDuh, so what if they were recipients of money? Besides that, your so called source can say anything he wants, like "he (shokin) was making plans to investigate" but there is no evidence of anything. Btw, your wannabe dictator has crossed the rubicon, as they say, with this one. Impeachment time!
There aren't enough votes to begin impeachment - this is more likely to scare some off. Pelosi seems to know it - although she no longer seems to be in control.
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Originally posted by Mountain Man View PostAccording to the Ukrainian government and the prosecutor himself, Hunter Biden was specifically named in the investigation.
The general prosecutor’s official file for the Burisma probe — shared with me by senior Ukrainian officials — shows prosecutors identified Hunter Biden, business partner Devon Archer and their firm, Rosemont Seneca, as potential recipients of money.
Shokin told me in written answers to questions that, before he was fired as general prosecutor, he had made “specific plans” for the investigation that “included interrogations and other crime-investigation procedures into all members of the executive board, including Hunter Biden.”
https://thehill.com/opinion/white-ho...obe-is-revived
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Originally posted by JimL View PostAnd no, as much as you wish it were the case, he wasn't investigating Bidens son.
The general prosecutor’s official file for the Burisma probe — shared with me by senior Ukrainian officials — shows prosecutors identified Hunter Biden, business partner Devon Archer and their firm, Rosemont Seneca, as potential recipients of money.
Shokin told me in written answers to questions that, before he was fired as general prosecutor, he had made “specific plans” for the investigation that “included interrogations and other crime-investigation procedures into all members of the executive board, including Hunter Biden.”
https://thehill.com/opinion/white-ho...obe-is-revived
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Originally posted by rogue06 View PostIf there is a case for extortion it would be Biden threatening to hold back something like a billion dollars in aid unless the prosecutor that was just happening to be investigating his son and the company he worked for was fired.
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Originally posted by rogue06 View PostYou proclaimed that Biden was sent by the Obama Administration because they didn't think that a prosecutor was moving quick enough at prosecuting corruption cases. And Biden threatened to cut off aid to the country unless the prosecutor they didn't like was fired.
Now the wannabe dictator is, finally, formally facing impeachment!
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Originally posted by Sam View PostIf you have any actual tangible, non-"Clinton Cash" evidence...
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Originally posted by Sparko View PostHim using his power to get a foreign country to basically 'hire' his son and friends is not illegal? And then using his power and status as VP to blackmail the Ukraine into firing this prosecutor isn't illegal either? Wow. You guys sure have a different set of standards when it comes to your guys than when it comes to Trump.
If Trump had gotten Putin to do business with his son, the democrats would be screaming bloody murder.
Also if this prosecutor wasn't going after Biden's son, then what business was it of Biden's in the first place to tell a foreign country that they need to fire some prosecutor or not get money from the US? That would be an internal affair that would be of no interest to Biden.
If you have any actual tangible, non-"Clinton Cash" evidence of Biden using his position to get his children hired (as opposed to his son using the Biden name to get a cushy hire), that'd be news. As of the moment, it doesn't publicly exist.
--Sam
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