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Climate gains are ‘inconvenient truth’

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  • Climate gains are ‘inconvenient truth’

    It seems that growing our wealth is a bulwark against the negative effects of climate change...

    Climate gains are ‘inconvenient truth’ — it’s not all bad news about the environment

    We are incessantly told about disasters, whether it is the latest heatwave, flood, wildfire or storm. Yet the data overwhelmingly shows that over the past century, people have become much, much safer from all these weather events. Indeed, in the 1920s, around half a million people were killed by weather disasters, whereas in the last decade the death-toll averaged around 18,000. This year, just like 2020 and 2021, is tracking below that. Why? Because when people get richer, they get more resilient.

    Weather-fixated television news would make us all think that disasters are all getting worse. They’re not. Around 1900, around 4.5% of the land area of the world would burn every year. Over the last century, this declined to about 3.2%. In the last two decades, satellites show even further decline — in 2021 just 2.5% burned. This has happened mostly because richer societies prevent fires. Models show that by the end of the century, despite climate change, human adaptation will mean even less burning.

    And despite what you may have heard about record-breaking costs from weather disasters (mainly because wealthier populations build more expensive houses along coastlines), damage costs are declining, not increasing, as a percent of GDP.

    But it’s not only weather disasters that are getting less damaging despite dire predictions. A decade ago, environmentalists loudly declared that Australia’s magnificent Great Barrier Reef was nearly dead, killed by bleaching caused by climate change. The UK Guardian even published an obituary.

    This year, scientists revealed that two-thirds of the Great Barrier Reef shows the highest coral cover seen since records began in 1985. The good-news report got a fraction of the attention.

    Not long ago, environmentalists constantly used pictures of polar bears to highlight the dangers of climate change. Polar bears even featured in Al Gore’s terrifying movie “An Inconvenient Truth.” But the reality is that polar bear numbers have been increasing — from somewhere between five and ten thousand polar bears in the 1960s, up to around 26,000 today. We don’t hear this news. Instead, campaigners just quietly stopped using polar bears in their activism.

    We also end up ignoring much bigger problems. Consider all the attention devoted to heatwaves. In the United States and many other parts of the world, heat deaths are actually declining, because access to air conditioning helps much more than rising temperatures hurt.

    However, almost everywhere, the cold quietly kills many more. In the US, about 20,000 people die from heat, but 170,000 die from cold — something we rarely focus on. Moreover, cold deaths are rising in the US, and our incessant focus on climate change is exacerbating this trend, because politicians have introduced green laws that make energy more expensive, meaning fewer people can afford to keep warm. Lacking perspective means we don’t focus first on where we can help most.

    https://nypost.com/2022/09/06/theres...e-environment/
    Atheism is the cult of death, the death of hope. The universe is doomed, you are doomed, the only thing that remains is to await your execution...

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jbnueb2OI4o&t=3s

  • #2
    Slightly off topic ...

    I think a much greater effect on the environment than pushing electric cars (that need batteries and need to be charged, so they are still a drain on the environment) is having people who can work from home, do work from home. So much needless driving. My wife now works from home 4 days a week. She only goes in one day to take care of paperwork and face-to-face business. Round trip, she drives 26 miles, so that 104 miles of automobile exhaust no longer being pumped out. Add 30 or so coworkers (some of which drive much further) it's probably about 3K less miles per week.

    So much of this Al Gore greenie nonsense is about profiting from emerging green businesses and not about saving the environment with common-sense alternatives.
    "You should just assume going forward that if I am ever wrong it is a typo" - Backup
    "
    Reality simply does not change based upon consensus or desire." - rogue

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    • #3
      "Green" has never been about saving the planet. That became blatantly obvious when Obama gave millions of dollars to green energy companies that pocketed the money and then promptly declared bankruptcy. I would love to know how much of that money was funneled back to Democrats in the form of campaign contributions.
      Some may call me foolish, and some may call me odd
      But I'd rather be a fool in the eyes of man
      Than a fool in the eyes of God


      From "Fools Gold" by Petra

      Comment


      • #4
        Originally posted by seer View Post
        It seems that growing our wealth is a bulwark against the negative effects of climate change...
        If you go back even before 1900, wildfires used to burn even worse than the 1900 levels, with hundreds of millions of acres burning every year
        "When you're attacking FBI agents because you're under criminal investigation, you're losing"
        -Trump Press Secretary, Sarah Huckabee Sanders


        "So when you actually get the virus, you're going to start producing antibodies against multiple pieces of the virus. So, your antibodies are probably better at that point than the vaccination."
        - Pfizer Scientist Chris Croce

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        • #5
          Originally posted by Mountain Man View Post
          "Green" has never been about saving the planet. That became blatantly obvious when Obama gave millions of dollars to green energy companies that pocketed the money and then promptly declared bankruptcy. I would love to know how much of that money was funneled back to Democrats in the form of campaign contributions.
          Regardless of the science, the economics of it is unfeasible (as we're just beginning to see now), and the politics of it is a complete and utter sham.
          "What am I doing here?" -- Joe Biden 2021

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          • #6
            Originally posted by seanD View Post

            Regardless of the science, the economics of it is unfeasible (as we're just beginning to see now), and the politics of it is a complete and utter sham.
            Yep, but that won't stop the libs...
            Atheism is the cult of death, the death of hope. The universe is doomed, you are doomed, the only thing that remains is to await your execution...

            https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jbnueb2OI4o&t=3s

            Comment


            • #7
              "It ain't necessarily so
              The things that you're liable
              To read in the Bible
              It ain't necessarily so
              ."

              Sportin' Life
              Porgy & Bess, DuBose Heyward, George & Ira Gershwin

              Comment


              • #8
                Originally posted by seer View Post

                Yep, but that won't stop the libs...
                Nope, nor will the academics and wealthy class that support them, which is why it's inevitable an ugly societal clash of classes is going to happen.
                "What am I doing here?" -- Joe Biden 2021

                Comment


                • #9
                  Originally posted by seanD View Post

                  ... which is why it's inevitable an ugly societal clash of classes is going to happen.
                  Sadly, we may be moving that way...

                  Atheism is the cult of death, the death of hope. The universe is doomed, you are doomed, the only thing that remains is to await your execution...

                  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jbnueb2OI4o&t=3s

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Originally posted by seanD View Post

                    Nope, nor will the academics and wealthy class that support them, which is why it's inevitable an ugly societal clash of classes is going to happen.
                    The ruling class' reluctance to lead by example is going to bite them hard sooner than later.
                    Some may call me foolish, and some may call me odd
                    But I'd rather be a fool in the eyes of man
                    Than a fool in the eyes of God


                    From "Fools Gold" by Petra

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Originally posted by seer View Post
                      We also end up ignoring much bigger problems. Consider all the attention devoted to heatwaves. In the United States and many other parts of the world, heat deaths are actually declining, because access to air conditioning helps much more than rising temperatures hurt.

                      Maybe that is why they are making people raise their thermostats during heatwaves in places like California: They need more casualties to support their climate change agenda.



                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Originally posted by Ronson View Post
                        Slightly off topic ...

                        I think a much greater effect on the environment than pushing electric cars (that need batteries and need to be charged, so they are still a drain on the environment) is having people who can work from home, do work from home. So much needless driving. My wife now works from home 4 days a week. She only goes in one day to take care of paperwork and face-to-face business. Round trip, she drives 26 miles, so that 104 miles of automobile exhaust no longer being pumped out. Add 30 or so coworkers (some of which drive much further) it's probably about 3K less miles per week.

                        So much of this Al Gore greenie nonsense is about profiting from emerging green businesses and not about saving the environment with common-sense alternatives.
                        Yup. I live pretty close to work, about a 15 mile round trip. But I was filling up at least once every two weeks, sometimes more. But I have been working from home since Covid, and now I am only filling up about 4 times a YEAR. That's a lot of saving of gas, pollution, and wear and tear on my car.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Originally posted by Mountain Man View Post

                          The ruling class' reluctance to lead by example is going to bite them hard sooner than later.
                          Big time.
                          "What am I doing here?" -- Joe Biden 2021

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Originally posted by Hypatia_Alexandria View Post
                            A Ship of Fools is an apt description of the Democratic Party today.

                            I'm always still in trouble again

                            "You're by far the worst poster on TWeb" and "TWeb's biggest liar" --starlight (the guy who says Stalin was a right-winger)
                            "Overall I would rate the withdrawal from Afghanistan as by far the best thing Biden's done" --Starlight
                            "Of course, human life begins at fertilization that’s not the argument." --Tassman

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Originally posted by rogue06 View Post
                              A Ship of Fools is an apt description of the Democratic Party today.
                              I thought it more pertinent to the posts that came before it.
                              "It ain't necessarily so
                              The things that you're liable
                              To read in the Bible
                              It ain't necessarily so
                              ."

                              Sportin' Life
                              Porgy & Bess, DuBose Heyward, George & Ira Gershwin

                              Comment

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