Fourth US COVID wave has started

[Stoic]

Is this diagnoses or fatalities? I'm more interested in seeing the latter.

There's a three or four week delay before cases turn into deaths. We're just starting to see the uptick in deaths, with the 7 day average up 9.3% as of July 21 compared to a week earlier (223 per day vs 204 per day). source

[One Bad Pig]

Is this diagnoses or fatalities? I'm more interested in seeing the latter.

You can find them here. It is starting to tick up a little, but it's still only 10% of what was seen at the peak.

[mikewhitney]

Is this diagnoses or fatalities? I'm more interested in seeing the latter.

Wait! What? You want to see fatalities???

Actually, you are right. It is the deaths that are the problem -- maybe some of long covid. The death rates should be minimal now that we have well-tested treatments like Ivermectin, high-dosage Vitamin D and many others. Any place that has a high death rate or injury rate most likely is guilty of malpractice.

[Gondwanaland]

Is this diagnoses or fatalities? I'm more interested in seeing the latter.

It's positive cases.

Fatalities have been rather flat if not declining for the past couple months, and continue to remain that way. Honestly I don't know why anyone still uses positive cases, as they are essentially meaningless now that vaccines are here and we know people can still test positive but have very mild symptoms with them (same for natural immunity). Only reason I can think of to still use them is for scaremongering/number-padding purposes.

[rogue06]

The following table showing new daily COVID cases (seven day moving average) in the US on Monday of each week, and the % increase from the previous week, clearly shows that a fourth COVID wave is starting in the United States:

18,946 - May 31
16,058 - June 7 (down 15%)
13,969 - June 14 (down 13%)
12,007 - June 21 (down 14%)
13,240 - June 28 (up 10%)
15,368 - July 5 (up 16%)
22,564 - July 12 (up 47%)
37,413 - July 19 (up 66%)

What is really striking about this data is how quickly the COVID situation in the US turned around.

Is this diagnoses or fatalities? I'm more interested in seeing the latter.

[Gondwanaland]

Looks like we're on a pretty similar increase (with lower cases though) as we were this time last year. Almost identical in timing, which to me indicates seasonality/weather influences.

But going by covid cases these days is rather irrelevant. Given that people with vaccinations can still get it but just have less severe (appears similar or even better for those with natural immunity), an increase in cases is not necessarily the end of the world.

If we look at deaths, for example, numbers are quite stable if not slightly falling/undulating. Lower than they were this time last year when there was the summer 'wave'. Hospitalizations have increased very slightly, but again, if they're not ending in deaths (which it appears they're not), the numbers aren't all that concerning.

In addition, the fact that it has been months of decline since mask mandates have ended, and only now are we seeing a slight increase, should indicate to a sensible person that mask mandates tend to do little to nothing to covid numbers, and ending them is not linked to any increase.

[mikewhitney]

There are not covid cases unless someone is sick. Covid refers to a set of flu-like symptoms and respiratory problems.

The so-called covid cases refers more specifically to tests for SARS-COV-2. However, as we have seen elsewhere, these tests are meaningless with 97% false positives.

These statistics therefore are meaningless and should be disregarded for any practical actions.

If you do want to interpret it, favor the interpretation that says masks, lockdowns and covid shots have proven to be useless.

[Reepicheep]

The following table showing new daily COVID cases (seven day moving average) in the US on Monday of each week, and the % increase from the previous week, clearly shows that a fourth COVID wave is starting in the United States:

18,946 - May 31
16,058 - June 7 (down 15%)
13,969 - June 14 (down 13%)
12,007 - June 21 (down 14%)
13,240 - June 28 (up 10%)
15,368 - July 5 (up 16%)
22,564 - July 12 (up 47%)
37,413 - July 19 (up 66%)

What is really striking about this data is how quickly the COVID situation in the US turned around.