Originally posted by Ronson
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You had two possible outcomes. A and B. A had an added incentive of $100 if claimed, regardless of whether A was true or false.
Outcome A was unreliable for honesty because it was either true, or a lie based on an incentive.
Outcome B was reliable for honesty because there was not an incentive (and actually a counter incentive since the kid would lose $100) by saying it.
So, while either outcome was possible, and possibly true, only one outcome could actually be trusted due to the incentive to lie on one of them.
It does make me curious. How often did Jim trust people who used to be part of Trump's circle when they aired dirty Trump laundry? After all, once out of his circle of influence, they had plenty of incentive to lie about trump in order to either make money, rescue their reputation, or try and get revenge on someone who threw them under the bus. Did He believe Christine Ford, since she had political incentive to lie (stop Kavanaugh confirmation.)
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